Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 1.505044 1.741859 2.002440 2.310266 2.663811 3.057010 3.527359
2025-03-23 1.204366 1.520487 1.898071 2.381637 2.983890 3.708687 4.646753
2025-03-30 0.981211 1.337375 1.794568 2.422967 3.262793 4.345021 5.844239
2025-04-06 0.797592 1.165141 1.668645 2.406115 3.455967 4.893878 7.009921
2025-04-13 0.625674 0.974350 1.481438 2.268741 3.456101 5.175100 7.847385
2025-04-20 0.545572 0.900101 1.444236 2.334471 3.748207 5.898738 9.408976
2025-04-27 0.491796 0.855581 1.442186 2.448971 4.124837 6.791307 11.340461
2025-05-04 0.435841 0.796962 1.406851 2.501516 4.405371 7.563815 13.177874
2025-05-11 0.384844 0.737558 1.359760 2.524469 4.635086 8.275843 14.999342
2025-05-18 0.329022 0.659724 1.268004 2.453445 4.687628 8.687540 16.347859
2025-05-25 0.276265 0.578585 1.157469 2.330068 4.624645 8.881145 17.320327
2025-06-01 0.245579 0.535629 1.112194 2.322792 4.775674 9.477713 19.103386
2025-06-08 0.211938 0.482148 1.040503 2.257210 4.812640 9.879644 20.599215
2025-06-15 0.200665 0.474607 1.061255 2.384020 5.255305 11.127533 23.929742
2025-06-22 0.186087 0.457289 1.058790 2.461203 5.605110 12.232039 27.109103
2025-06-29 0.167669 0.427949 1.025607 2.465899 5.798977 13.036538 29.758845
2025-07-06 0.142739 0.378627 0.939678 2.337782 5.678808 13.154303 30.934250
2025-07-13 0.133685 0.367209 0.940601 2.413316 6.035983 14.363104 34.690996
2025-07-20 0.128081 0.363722 0.960115 2.536571 6.522388 15.921170 39.437245
2025-07-27 0.119432 0.350620 0.953686 2.594039 6.856118 17.164080 43.591898
2025-08-03 0.110126 0.334079 0.935928 2.619714 7.113487 18.255105 47.511158
2025-08-10 0.097622 0.306204 0.883963 2.547209 7.108352 18.704671 49.898788
2025-08-17 0.084541 0.274208 0.815742 2.419901 6.939907 18.723000 51.190601